When will the first humans land on Mars? | Manifold

When will the first humans land on Mars?

Basic

31

Ṁ1274

2100

2042

expected

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves to the year in which humans land on Mars, or 2099 if no humans land on Mars in the 21st century.

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How you make this kind of market? can't see the option. They discontinued it?

@Riley12 It was a while ago but I might have done it through the API

Similar question on Metaculus: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3515/when-will-the-first-humans-land-successfully-on-mars/

I believe in Elon, but if not him, the Chinese.

When will the first humans land on Mars?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

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