Will Google, Amazon, Apple, or Samsung have their voice assistant integrated with an LLM, by 2024 end?
Will Google, Amazon, Apple, or Samsung have their voice assistant integrated with an LLM, by 2024 end?
Plus
45
Ṁ1693Dec 31
93%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Ik there's some work going around this in Amazon.
Must be available to customers. Internal demos, and even access to a small group of people from public for testing doesn't count.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.Related questions
Which incumbent voice assistant will be first to incorporate an LLM?
Will GPT-4 be integrated into mainstream virtual assistant technologies (Alexa or Siri), by 2025?
56% chance
Who will have the most popular AI assistant at the end of 2025? (judged by active users)
Will Apple release a MacBook with LLM integration built in, by 2025 end?
91% chance
Will smartphones be substantially replaced with voice LLM interfaces by 2030?
19% chance
Will Google Assistant or Siri be powered by an AI solution similar to ChatGPT by the end of 2024?
87% chance
Before 2026, will you be able to buy ads in a mainstream AI assistant?
24% chance
Will a voice assistant be able to run locally on a smartphone by 2030 ?
94% chance
Between Google and Amazon, which will release a voice assistant with generative AI first?
Will there exist popular smart glasses with LLM integration by 2027?
88% chance