Will the margin of victory in the 2024 POTUS election in Michigan be greater than in 2020 (2.8%)?
Basic
5
Ṁ881resolved Nov 8
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
Related markets:
/WalterMartin/will-the-margin-of-victory-in-the-2-4db56fb6e136
/WalterMartin/will-the-margin-of-victory-in-the-2
/WalterMartin/will-the-margin-of-victory-in-the-2-51af5a4e6350
/WalterMartin/will-the-margin-of-victory-in-the-2-19d0d7c91571
/WalterMartin/will-the-margin-of-victory-in-the-2-d54b8b02937c
/WalterMartin/will-the-margin-of-victory-in-the-2-b1850c0c8416
The party elected is not relevant to the resolution of this question.
Last election, CNN reported 50.6% - 47.8%: https://www.cnn.com/election/2020/results/state/michigan
I will use similar criteria for this market, and will not vote in it.
If CNN is reporting within 0.1% of this number, I will look at the actual voter numbers to determine which margin was greater.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will the margin of victory in the 2024 POTUS election in Colorado be greater than in 2020 (13.5%)?
5% chance
Will the margin of victory in the 2024 US Presidential election in Wisconsin be greater than 1%?
13% chance
How large is the (optimal) voter margin for the US 2024 Presidential Election?
Will a democrat win the 2024 presidential election in Michigan?
1% chance
Will the Democratic party receive a greater vote share in the 2024 Presidential election in Macomb, MI versus 2020?
3% chance
What will be the margin of victory in Wisconsin in the 2024 Presidential election?
What will be the margin in Michigan's Senate election?