Will the margin of victory in the 2024 US Presidential election in Wisconsin be greater than 1%?
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Resolves YES if the margin of victory in the 2024 US Presidential election in Wisconsin as declared by the Wisconsin secretary of state/credible news sources is greater than 1%, NO if not, and N/A if the election does not happen or is voided for whatever reason. The final resolution will be done after all recounts and legal challenges have been exhausted
For reference:
Margin (partisan lean)
2020: Biden +0.63 (R +3.87)
2016: Trump +0.77 (R +2.87)
2012: Obama +6.94 (D +3.04)
2008: Obama +13.91 (D +6.71)
2004: Kerry +0.38 (D +2.78)
2000: Gore +0.22 (R +0.28)
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@traders current margin is 0.9%-1% depending on various sources. Inconvenient, but I'll have to wait for the official final results.
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