When will the worlds share of solar electricity reach 10% ?
Basic
6
Ṁ1462030
3%
2025
16%
2026
37%
2027
17%
2028
14%
2029
13%
2030
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@Joshua I think it will reach before 2030. I think it will break 3% this year. There is a rule of thumb that the larger an industry is, the easier it is to scale larger. Thats because the supply chains are all well established, new factories don't need to spend years tuning production. That point is about 5% of the market, which I think will be reached in 2025. The question is how long will it take to break 10% ? The faster it gets to 10%, the faster world will transition.
Related questions
Related questions
Will the solar cell world efficiency record be beaten by the end of 2024?
9% chance
Will solar energy provide more than 10% of world electricity generation?
61% chance
Will the global consumption of renewable energy increase by at least 10% in 2024?
56% chance
Will the U.S. get 5% of its energy from solar before 2025?
16% chance
Will there be more than 10GW of off-earth solar power generation by 2050?
27% chance
Will solar become the primary source of electricity in the US before 2040?
77% chance
[Metaculus] Will solar power on Earth dominate renewable energy consumption before 2031?
75% chance
Will solar PV become the largest source of power by 2028?
25% chance
How much solar power will the world install in 2027?
How much solar power will the world install in 2025?