How much solar power will the world install in 2027?
How much solar power will the world install in 2027?
Plus
9
Ṁ6512028
15%
<= 718 GW
25%
719 to 900 GW
39%
901 to 1100 GW
16%
1101 to 1400 GW
5%
>1400 GW
Jenny Chase from Bloomberg New Energy Finance (BNEF) currently projects 718 gigawatts (GW) of solar will be installed worldwide in 2027. How much will actually be installed?
BNEF will be the data source for consistency; if it's not available I'll use a credible source that closely aligns with the historical data below (e.g. 444 GW in 2023, 252 GW in 2022).
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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