Will self-driving cars become the primary mode of transportation in major US cities by 2030?
Plus
19
Ṁ7482030
22%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
I'll define major as largest 10 metro areas. For self-driving I'll use SAE level 3.
https://www.sae.org/binaries/content/gallery/cm/content/news/sae-blog/j3016graphic_2021.png
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will fully autonomous (level 5) self-driving cars be available in a major city before 2030?
69% chance
Will at least 10 world cities have a generally available self-driving taxi service by 2025?
73% chance
Will autonomous driving rideshares exceed human-driven rideshares by the start of 2030 (in the US)? [Ṁ1500 subsidy]
38% chance
Will at least 20% of cars I see be self-driving by 2030?
38% chance
Will electric vehicles account for a majority of new light vehicles purchased in the United States by 2030?
55% chance
Will a country ban human driven cars in favor of AI self driving in at least one city center by the end of 2040?
60% chance
By which year will there be self-driving cars in New York City?
Will a fully autonomous, Level 5 self driving car be available for purchase in the US by the year 2040?
74% chance
Will more than 50% of cars sold in 2030 in the US have self driving capabilities (SAE level 3)?
48% chance
Will at least half of new cars sold in 2038 in the US be fully autonomous?
47% chance