When will a large majority of rideshare be done by self-driving cars?
Basic
10
Ṁ7842061
84%
Before 2029
6%
2030-2034
3%
2035-2039
1.5%
2040-2044
1.5%
2045-2049
1.5%
2050-2054
1.5%
2055-2059
1.7%
Resolve the year in which a large majority of rideshare rides (80% or more) are completed by self-driving cars (i.e., the passenger is the only person in the car) within the US
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will Tesla serve more fully autonomous rides in 2025 than Waymo?
20% chance
Will California have a generally available self-driving taxi or rideshare service by 2026?
79% chance
Will Tesla have driverless ride-hailing in the US by end of year?
27% chance
Will New York City have a generally available self-driving taxi or rideshare service by 2026?
26% chance
Full self driving cars will be legal with no need for human interaction in any country by the end of 2025?
21% chance
Will self-driving cars become the primary mode of transportation in major US cities by 2030?
18% chance
Who will be the largest players in self-driving in 2030?
By which year will there be self-driving cars in New York City?
Will autonomous driving rideshares exceed human-driven rideshares by the start of 2030 (in the US)? [Ṁ1500 subsidy]
58% chance
Will I be able to hail a driverless autonomous vehicle from Oakland to San Francisco (or back) by the end of 2025?
18% chance