Will Shohei Ohtani have a baby in the year 2025?

Basic

Ṁ1080

2026

95%

chance

ALL

This question will resolve Yes if the MLB player Shohei Ohtani has a biological child with his current wife or any other woman before the end of 2025.

Update 2025-01-01 (PST): - Resolves No if the pregnancy results in a miscarriage or stillbirth (AI summary of creator comment)

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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Will resolve No if pregnancy results in miscarriage or still birth

bought Ṁ200 YES

https://x.com/noahcamras/status/1873108903803929053?t=ndu7w83mj0npbJKiVm3FNQ&s=19

bought Ṁ25 NO

@JTBooth “Have a baby” typically refers to birth, rather than pregnancy. “We’re having a baby” would refer to pregnancy, but implies you are in the process, and don’t have a baby yet.

@JimHays agreed, I don't think the market should resolve, just giving context.

sold Ṁ7 NO

@JTBooth Whoops, for some reason I thought this was a 2024 market

@JimHays man I hate when that happens, hope you can get out of the trade without too much pain

@JTBooth Only cost 17M

Adoption does not count

a biological child

adoption doesn’t count?

@mattyb - only birth child

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