Conditional on it all working out, in what year will Eliezer Yudkowsky be revived from cryo-preservation? | Manifold

Conditional on it all working out, in what year will Eliezer Yudkowsky be revived from cryo-preservation?

Plus

14

Ṁ355

2050

56%

< 2100

15%

2100 - 2200

1.5%

2200 - 2300

1%

> 2300

2%

2134

13%

Advancements in life extension tech obviates the need for this before he dies.

11%

Other

Conditional on cryonics working, Eliezer Yudkowsky living until he is preserved, and nothing bad happening either to him or humanity in-between, when will Eliezer be revived from cryo-preservation?

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#️ Technology

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

if we make some big quick advancements in life extension tech, and Yudowsky is around alive and well at age 150 without ever needing to be cryopreserved, what does this market resolve to?

I love this question but you might want to re-create it as a multiple choice question rather than free response. Free response lets anyone submit more answers and is better used for questions that are open-ended, but doesn't really make sense here.
(If you resolve this N/A you'll get your mana back)

I assume “Other” refers to the case where things “work out” but with no cryopreservation

Related questions

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky get fully blaked before 2027?

Will a human preserved through cryonics be successfully brought back to life by end of 2100?

Will a human preserved through cryonics be successfully restored by end of 2100?

If Eliezer Yudkowsky dies, will he die of "old age"-related causes?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be quoted at a White House press briefing again by the end of 2025?

Will a human preserved through cryonics be successfully brought back to life by end of 2075?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky go on The Joe Rogan Experience podcast by the end of 2024?

Will a human preserved through cryonics be successfully restored by end of 2075?

+3% 1d39% chance

[Metaculus] Will a cryonically frozen individual be resuscitated before 2100?

If a human preserved through cryonics is successfully brought back to life before 2100, how will it happen first?

Related questions

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky get fully blaked before 2027?

Will a human preserved through cryonics be successfully brought back to life by end of 2075?

Will a human preserved through cryonics be successfully brought back to life by end of 2100?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky go on The Joe Rogan Experience podcast by the end of 2024?

Will a human preserved through cryonics be successfully restored by end of 2100?

Will a human preserved through cryonics be successfully restored by end of 2075?

If Eliezer Yudkowsky dies, will he die of "old age"-related causes?

[Metaculus] Will a cryonically frozen individual be resuscitated before 2100?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be quoted at a White House press briefing again by the end of 2025?

If a human preserved through cryonics is successfully brought back to life before 2100, how will it happen first?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules