If Trump wins, will his first year in office be 'a complete shit show'? | Manifold

If Trump wins, will his first year in office be 'a complete shit show'?

Basic

22

Ṁ810

2026

70%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolution will follow the results of a poll on Manifold, created after the deadline (6th of January 2026).

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#🇺🇸 US Politics

#Republican Party

#🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

Check out this market to bet on what Trump will say in Year 1 https://manifold.markets/Houston2025/what-words-or-phrases-will-trump-sa

opened a Ṁ1,000 YES at 60% order

Put a limit up order for Yes at 60% for who's interested

This market has conflict of interest written all over it

@Entropy how could I resolve that? I'm happy to cancel my limit order if that helps.

@TheWabiSabi Would improve if you take as much control away from yourself to influence the outcome of the poll, such as by already specifying the title, options (full text) and tags.

Related questions

Will Donald Trump's net approval one year after his inauguration be at least 10 points worse than on his inauguration?

Will Trump do a good job before the 2026 midterms?

If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 50% after one year in office?

If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 40% after one year in office?

Will Trump do a good job?

Will Trump finish his second term?

Will donald trump survive one year as president?

Who will serve in Donald Trump's cabinet in his first year?

If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 45% after one year in office?

If Trump is re-elected will he face a third impeachment in the first 6 months of his presidency?

Related questions

Will Donald Trump's net approval one year after his inauguration be at least 10 points worse than on his inauguration?

Will Trump finish his second term?

Will Trump do a good job before the 2026 midterms?

Will donald trump survive one year as president?

If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 50% after one year in office?

Who will serve in Donald Trump's cabinet in his first year?

If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 40% after one year in office?

If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 45% after one year in office?

Will Trump do a good job?

If Trump is re-elected will he face a third impeachment in the first 6 months of his presidency?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules