Given a large power outage for >3 days, will people panic?
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Ṁ197
Dec 31
87%
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If there is no power outage for >3 days in a city or large town in the USA in 2025, this question will not resolve Yes or No. If there are many events, or many cities, it only takes one Panic to resolve Yes. Panic is defined as reported panic in the Media, where they buy all the gas nearby, or some shelves are empty at a large store like Walmart for an extended period of a week. Or some type of large scale violence or looting, like has happened in the past. So we're really betting on what the Media says. Not the reality of the locals who live there.

  • Update 2025-08-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Resolution uses Media reports.

    • If multiple media sources explicitly use the word "panic" to describe the response to a qualifying outage, that counts for Yes.

    • "Buying ALL the gas" (stations emptied) and large-scale violence/looting are considered panic.

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This feels pretty ill defined. Buying gas during a power outage is not obviously an act of panic, in fact it is frequently the responsible thing to do. It doesn't take much for some media organization to report something as a panic, so it doesn't seem like a good metric here.

@ElijahRavitzCampbell Please help me define it better. The metric is how the Media reports it. Any of the above criteria or using the word Panic from multiple sources. Buying gas is responsible. Buying ALL the gas, until it's gone, like in the 70's is panic. Violence or Looting, the day after a power outage starts, is certainly Panic!

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