Will a solar storm cause a >24-hour internet outage in any top 10 populous city by 2025 end?
Basic
3
Ṁ852025
4%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves to 'Yes' if a solar storm causes a confirmed internet outage lasting over 24 hours in any of these cities: Tokyo, Jakarta, Delhi, Seoul, Shanghai, Manila, São Paulo, Beijing, Mexico City, or New York City, before December 31, 2025. It resolves to 'No' if no such outage occurs due to a solar storm in these cities by the end date. Confirmation from reliable news sources, governmental reports, or major internet service providers is required.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will any major US city have a blackout of at least a day before 2025?
61% chance
Will a massive solar storm occur before 2050?
45% chance
Will a major social media company experience an outage of 24 hours or more before 2025?
28% chance
Will any state have more than 100,000 customers without power (red on US Power Outage Map) before the end of 2024?
79% chance
Will the US experience a power grid failure before 2026?
35% chance
Will a substantial cyberattack (disrupting critical infrastructure) occur in the U.S. between July 21 and Dec 31, 2024
34% chance
Will there be any one transmission line outage that causes over one million Americans to not have electricity in 2024?
72% chance
Will a solar storm at least as powerful as the Carrington Event hit Earth before superintelligence is created?
30% chance
Will there be a cybersecurity event affecting US infrastructure and dealing more than $20 million in damage by 2025
50% chance
Will any country physically disconnect from the internet for over a week before 2030?
65% chance