IMO it's going pretty well compared to if the AI progress went the optimizer route, but modern LLMs are barely agents so it's hard to make any real progress with those systems.

imagine how much worse it would be if we didn't have specs and just had user preference tuning

what do i vote if i think AI safety is going relatively poorly but i also think p(doom) is fairly low

@jim "pretty badly", it's all compared to the averaged expected timeline