U.S. 30 Year TIPS yield exceeds 4% before 2028?
3
Ṁ3772027
37%
chance
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Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 30-Year Constant Maturity" as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) goes above 4.00% at any point before January 1, 2028. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be the daily data for series DFII30 available on the FRED website: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DFII30.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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