Will Manifold's calibration be better at the end of 2027? | Manifold

Will Manifold's calibration be better at the end of 2027?

Basic

9

Ṁ219

2028

1D

1W

1M

ALL

76%

Better

13%

The same

11%

Worse

I'll be referencing this

https://manifold.markets/calibration

Starting Brier score: 0.16781

To resolve as "better" or "worse" it should vary by more than 0.01

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#Meta-Forecasting

#Predictions on Predictions

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

Related questions

Will Manifold's calibration improve in 2024?

Will Manifold's calibration be better at the end of 2024?

Will Manifold bring back calibration before LLMs are smart enough to give you a better custom graph?

Will Manifold be acquired by end of 2030?

Will Manifold still be functioning by 2030?

Will calibration come back to manifold in some form by EOY 2024?

Will Manifold still be horribly glitchy by 2025?

Will Manifold be acquired by end of 2025?

Will Manifold be acquired by end of 2040?

Will Manifold significantly improve the reliability of extreme market probabilities before the end of 2024?

Related questions

Will Manifold's calibration improve in 2024?

Will calibration come back to manifold in some form by EOY 2024?

Will Manifold's calibration be better at the end of 2024?

Will Manifold still be horribly glitchy by 2025?

Will Manifold bring back calibration before LLMs are smart enough to give you a better custom graph?

Will Manifold be acquired by end of 2025?

Will Manifold be acquired by end of 2030?

Will Manifold be acquired by end of 2040?

Will Manifold still be functioning by 2030?

Will Manifold significantly improve the reliability of extreme market probabilities before the end of 2024?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules