At the end of 2025, will Manifold think things have changed for the worse for us as a society?
Basic
31
Ṁ8872026
88%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
to be resolved with a poll with the question "Have things changed for the worse for us as a society in 2025?" with the responses:
yes
mostly yes
see results
mostly no
no
if (yes) + (mostly yes ÷ 2) > (no) + (mostly no ÷ 2), this resolves YES. If they're equal, resolves 50%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Manifold Markets still be around by 2030?
67% chance
Will Manifold still be around in 2035? (resolves N/A at the end of 2026)
43% chance
Will Manifold be acquired by end of 2025?
10% chance
Will Manifold stop using AI to make my questions worse by the end of 2025?
15% chance
Will Manifold consider the 2020 election “free and fair” at the end of 2025?
79% chance
Will Manifold think Trump's threat to democracy was overblown at the end of 2025?
19% chance
Will the described dynamic mostly stop happening on Manifold by the end of 2024?
31% chance
Will Manifold go bankrupt before 2030?
29% chance
Will Manifold still be functioning by 2030?
78% chance
Will Manifold be acquired by end of 2040?
67% chance