Will China's Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC) achieve the 3nm chip generation before 2026?

Will a US semiconductor fab begin volume production of 3nm chips in 2024?

Will China's SMIC manage to manufacture semiconductors that will outcompete Taiwan's TSMC by the end of 2028?

Will TSMC introduce a new process with a node size smaller than 3nm by the end of 2024?

Will the US be able to prop up its domestic semiconductor industry in a way that rivals China's -- not including Taiwan -- in the next five years?

Will China's SMIC manage to manufacture semiconductors that will outcompete Taiwan's TSMC by the end of 2024?

[Metaculus] Will any Chinese semiconductor foundry have 20% or more global semiconductor market share before 2033?

Will China's SMIC manage to manufacture semiconductors that will outcompete Taiwan's TSMC by the end of 2033?

[Metaculus] Will a Chinese firm make a large order of domestic AI chips before 2027?

Will TSMC dominate the semiconductor manufacturing market for the next 10 years?