Will a Chinese company make and release a semiconductor equal to or less than 5nm by the end of 2024?
Basic
12
Ṁ839Jan 1
26%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will a Chinese company introduce a smartphone using a domestically made chip below 7nm in 2024?
59% chance
Will a SMIC 5nm chip make it into production in a consumer Huawei device in 2024?
26% chance
Will a SMIC 5nm chip make it into production in a consumer Huawei device in 2024?
26% chance
[Metaculus] Will any Chinese semiconductor foundry have 20% or more global semiconductor market share before 2033?
61% chance
Will TSMC introduce a new process with a node size smaller than 3nm by the end of 2024?
29% chance
Will the US be able to prop up its domestic semiconductor industry in a way that rivals China's -- not including Taiwan -- in the next five years?
75% chance
Will a US semiconductor fab begin volume production of 3nm chips in 2024?
11% chance
Will China's SMIC manage to manufacture semiconductors that will outcompete Taiwan's TSMC by the end of 2033?
20% chance
Will India successfully produce and sell domestic microchips before the end of 2024?
47% chance
Will a home grown LLM developed by Chinese company be competitive by end of 2025?
58% chance