Will China's SMIC manage to manufacture semiconductors that will outcompete Taiwan's TSMC by the end of 2028? | Manifold

Will China's SMIC manage to manufacture semiconductors that will outcompete Taiwan's TSMC by the end of 2028?

Basic

6

Ṁ204

2027

15%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Same concept of previously created market, but on a longer timeframe

🇨🇳🇹🇼🇺🇸
https://manifold.markets/alby/will-chinas-smic-manage-to-manufact

Will China’s SMIC manage to manufacture semiconductors that will outcompete Taiwan’s TSMC by the end of 2024?

8% chance. Some basic info https://seekingalpha.com/article/4498980-tsmc-vs-smic-better-semiconductor-foundry-to-buy

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#️ Technology

#🇨🇳 China

#🇹🇼 Taiwan

#Semiconductors

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opened a Ṁ1,000 NO at 25% order

If anyone wants to make a big YES bet on this let me know.

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Related questions

Will China's SMIC manage to manufacture semiconductors that will outcompete Taiwan's TSMC by the end of 2033?

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Will a Chinese company make and release a semiconductor equal to or less than 5nm by the end of 2024?

Will a SMIC 5nm chip make it into production in a consumer Huawei device in 2024?

Will a Chinese company introduce a smartphone using a domestically made chip below 7nm in 2024?

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Will a SMIC 5nm chip make it into production in a consumer Huawei device in 2024?

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Will the US be able to prop up its domestic semiconductor industry in a way that rivals China's -- not including Taiwan -- in the next five years?

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