
Will a US semiconductor fab begin volume production of 3nm chips in 2024?
Plus
13
Ṁ406Jan 1
11%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will resolve based on public announcements of volume production. Shameless dupe of this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will China's Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC) achieve the 3nm chip generation before 2026?
11% chance
Will a Chinese company make and release a semiconductor equal to or less than 5nm by the end of 2024?
9% chance
Will TSMC announce any new investment in building a US fab by the end of 2024?
31% chance
Will TSMC introduce a new process with a node size smaller than 3nm by the end of 2024?
29% chance
Will the USA have 20% or more of advanced logic chip production by 2032?
50% chance
Will Intel spin-off its foundry business by 2026?
43% chance
Will China's SMIC manage to manufacture semiconductors that will outcompete Taiwan's TSMC by the end of 2024?
5% chance
Will China's SMIC manage to manufacture semiconductors that will outcompete Taiwan's TSMC by the end of 2033?
19% chance
Will most of TSMC's 2022-existing fabs in Taiwan be destroyed by 2030?
26% chance
Will a semiconductor fabrication plant project in Australia be announced before June 1st 2026?
35% chance