Will OpenAI reveal thinking tokens by the end of June 2025?
Plus
23
Ṁ9648Jun 30
61%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The market will resolve as Yes if thinking tokens are produced by the API or chatgpt in a public release.
Clarification Feb 7 - must be the actual thinking tokens, not some summary/paraphrase thereof.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
filled a Ṁ25 NO at 59% order
Note that this is still not the raw chain of thought - OpenAI's goal here is to be more transparent, but not entirely transparent. This, to me, implies that this should resolve NO unless they walk this back.
@MingCat They are 'beautified' raw tokens, because the raw ones are meaningless to the user sometimes, because of multiple languages usage. I think it should resolve to Yes, or sth like 80% if it remains like that by June.
Related questions
Related questions
Will OpenAI reveal a textless LLM before 2025?
4% chance
Will OpenAI release a model which performs chain-of-thought on image tokens / visual scratchpad before 2026?
66% chance
Will OpenAI release a tokenizer with more than 210000 tokens before 2026?
24% chance
Will OpenAI have a new name by the end of 2025?
13% chance
Will OpenAI hint at [read description] or claim to have AGI by 2025 end?
22% chance
Will OpenAI hint at or claim to have AGI by 2025 end?
32% chance
Will OpenAI dissolve by July 2025?
8% chance
Will OpenAI fold in 2025?
3% chance
Will OpenAI IPO before the end of 2025?
6% chance
Will OpenAI claim that it has achieved AGI in 2025?
26% chance