Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) refers to a type of artificial intelligence that has the ability to understand, learn, and apply its intelligence to a wide variety of problems, much like a human being. Unlike narrow or weak AI, which is designed and trained for specific tasks (like language translation, playing a game, or image recognition), AGI can theoretically perform any intellectual task that a human being can. It involves the capability to reason, plan, solve problems, think abstractly, comprehend complex ideas, learn quickly, and learn from experience.

Resolves as YES if such a system is created and publicly announced before January 1st 2024

Markets with the same criteria:

Will we get AGI before 2024?NO‌ (this question)

Will we get AGI before 2025?NO‌

Will we get AGI before 2026?5%‌

Will we get AGI before 2027?19%‌

Will we get AGI before 2028?34%‌

Will we get AGI before 2029?52%‌

Will we get AGI before 2030?65%‌

Will we get AGI before 2031?66%‌

Will we get AGI before 2032?69%‌

Will we get AGI before 2033?69%‌

Will we get AGI before 2034?73%‌

Will we get AGI before 2035?74%‌

Will we get AGI before 2036?76%‌

Will we get AGI before 2037?78%‌

Will we get AGI before 2038?79%‌

Will we get AGI before 2039?78%‌

Will we get AGI before 2040?80%‌

Will we get AGI before 2041?81%‌

Will we get AGI before 2042?82%‌

Will we get AGI before 2043?83%‌

Will we get AGI before 2044?84%‌

Will we get AGI before 2045?87%‌

Will we get AGI before 2046?88%‌

Will we get AGI before 2047?89%‌

Will we get AGI before 2048?90%‌