Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) refers to a type of artificial intelligence that has the ability to understand, learn, and apply its intelligence to a wide variety of problems, much like a human being. Unlike narrow or weak AI, which is designed and trained for specific tasks (like language translation, playing a game, or image recognition), AGI can theoretically perform any intellectual task that a human being can. It involves the capability to reason, plan, solve problems, think abstractly, comprehend complex ideas, learn quickly, and learn from experience.
Resolves as YES if such a system is created and publicly announced before January 1st 2036
Here are markets with the same criteria:
/RemNiFHfMN/did-agi-emerge-in-2023
/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2025
/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2026-3d9bfaa96a61
/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2027-d7b5f2b00ace
/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2028-ff560f9e9346
/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2029-ef1c187271ed
/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2030
/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2031
/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2032
/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2033
/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2034
/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2033-34ec8e1d00fd
/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2036 (this question)
/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2037
/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2038
/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2039
/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2040
/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2041
/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2042
/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2043
/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2044
/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2045
/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2046
/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2047
/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2048
Related markets:
/RemNi/will-we-get-asi-before-2027
/RemNi/will-we-get-asi-before-2028
/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-asi-before-2029
/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-asi-before-2030
/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-asi-before-2031
/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-asi-before-2032
/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-asi-before-2033
/RemNi/will-we-get-asi-before-2034
/RemNi/will-we-get-asi-before-2035
Other questions for 2036:
/RemNiFHfMN/will-a-human-venture-onto-the-surfa-bca2fe47409b
/RemNiFHfMN/will-a-human-venture-onto-the-lunar
/RemNiFHfMN/will-a-human-venture-onto-the-surfa
/RemNi/will-we-discover-alien-life-before-50f151c4102f
/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-607391b6e7ff
/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-9cd12d2b6612
/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-d3d4a061f891
Other points of reference for AGI:
/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-vladimir-put
/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-xi-jinping-s
/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-a-human-vent
/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-a-human-vent-549ed4a31a05
/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-we-get-room
/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-we-discover
1,000
3.00If you're making a set of markets with identical criteria but different dates, then the unlinked multiple choice market format works really well!
Also, you can embed the market with a % display if you want (type '%' and then without a space start typing the market name to search), like this: /RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2031 .