Will China institute a naval blockade of Taiwan before the end of 2025?
Plus
36
Ṁ30932025
19%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will resolve to YES IFF China institutes some type of naval blockade against Taiwan between the start of this market and before the end of 2025.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will China attempt to invade Taiwan by the end of 2027?
30% chance
Will China engage in a full-scale blockade against Taiwan before the following years? (2035)
56% chance
Will China set up an economic blockade against Taiwan by restricting/blocking > 50% of Taiwanese maritime/ship-based trade by beginning of 2030?
47% chance
Will China engage in a full-scale blockade against Taiwan before the following years? (2030)
54% chance
Will China invade or blockade Taiwan by the end 2025?
15% chance
Will China engage in a full-scale blockade against Taiwan before the following years? (2025)
9% chance
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2028?
45% chance
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2026?
27% chance
Will China set up an economic blockade against Taiwan by restricting/blocking > 50% of Taiwanese maritime/ship-based trade by beginning of 2025?
6% chance
Will China invade Taiwan by 2035?
41% chance