Which of NATO members will have met the target of 2% of GDP defence spending in any year before 2030?
Plus
33
Ṁ40782030
98.8%
United States
98.6%
Finland
98.4%
Poland
98%
United Kingdom
96%
Latvia
94%
Estonia
93%
Netherlands
93%
Greece
92%
Sweden
90%
Germany
89%
France
89%
Montenegro
88%
Denmark
88%
Bulgaria
88%
Lithuania
87%
Romania
84%
Albania
62%
Turkey
59%
Italy
54%
Czechia
The market will resolve as YES for all countries that record in any year between 2024-2030 a budget for military expenditure exceeding 2% of their GDP, as per NATO data (https://www.nato.int/).
This includes any future NATO member, whose number is published by NATO in the time period in question.
For example, the published numbers for 2023 are here:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
The Economist has published an article on this topic this week
Can Europe defend itself without America? (economist.com)
Related questions
Related questions
Will 18 or more countries in NATO spend 2% of their GDP on defense in 2024?
63% chance
If Trump wins, will at least 20 NATO members reach the 2% target for defense spending in 2025?
44% chance
Will NATO spend combined more than $2 trillion on defence by 2028?
64% chance
Will penalties for NATO countries not meeting the 2% of GDP spending target be put in place before the end of 2028?
22% chance
Will any NATO member country invoke Article 4 by the end of 2030?
45% chance
Which countries will join NATO by 2030? 🌐➕
Will Canadian defence spending top 2.0% for any year before 2030?
34% chance
Which countries will be members of NATO at the end of 2026?
Will Taiwan's Defence Budget rise to 2% of GDP in 2025?
55% chance
Will Taiwan's Defence Budget rise to 2% of GDP in 2030?
59% chance