Which countries will join NATO by 2030? ๐โ
Which countries will join NATO by 2030? ๐โ
Plus
34
แน42412030
71%
Bosnia and Herzegovina ๐ง๐ฆ
34%
Malta ๐ฒ๐น
29%
Ukraine ๐บ๐ฆ
19%
Kosovo ๐ฝ๐ฐ
17%
Serbia ๐ท๐ธ
14%
Cyprus ๐จ๐พ
13%
Moldova ๐ฒ๐ฉ
12%
Georgia ๐ฌ๐ช
12%
Armenia ๐ฆ๐ฒ
11%
Ireland ๐ฎ๐ช
10%
Azerbaijan ๐ฆ๐ฟ
7%
Kazakhstan ๐ฐ๐ฟ
5%
Belarus ๐ง๐พ
5%
Austria ๐ฆ๐น
4%
Switzerland ๐จ๐ญ
2%
Russia ๐ท๐บ
For the purposes of this market, Moldova becoming part of Romania (as part of NATO) means that Moldova would resolve YES.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEightโs performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 โ $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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