In the eventuality of a nuclear weapon being used, which country is most likely to detonate it first? | Manifold

In the eventuality of a nuclear weapon being used, which country is most likely to detonate it first?

Plus

63

Ṁ3215

2033

36%

🇷🇺 Russia

3%

🇺🇸 United States of America

8%

🇰🇵 North Korea

1.5%

🇨🇳 China

0.7%

🇮🇳 India

30%

🇮🇷 Iran

19%

🇮🇱 Israel

2%

Other

First nuclear weapon detonate: which country is responsible for it

Nuclear tests don't count, only actual weapon used for war or strategic purpose connecting to war.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#🇷🇺 Russia

#🇮🇱 Israel

#Arab-Israeli Conflict

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

What about terrorism? Does that count as "other"?

https://www.foxnews.com/us/us-conducts-nuclear-test-nevada-hours-russian-move-revoke-global-nuclear-test-ban.amp

If we get to 2033 without a weapon being used, does this resolve N/A? Does the due date get extended?

@EvanDaniel yes, solves N/A in that case

@Quadrifold It's kind of hateful to design a market to likely resolve N/A when you could easily just add a "nobody" option.

Related questions

In the eventuality of a nuclear weapon being used, where it will be dropped first?

What country will detonate the next nuclear weapon?

Which country will detonate the first nuclear weapon before 2025? (tests included)

Which countries will detonate a nuclear weapon offensively in 2025?

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated before Trump is President again?

Which country will be the first to use a nuclear weapon in anger (post WW2)?

What country will first denote a nuclear weapon in combat?

What will be the next country to come into possession of a nuclear weapon?

What country will the third nuclear weapon used in combat hit?

Which of these twelve countries will have at least one known nuclear weapon in their possession at the end of 2025?

Related questions

In the eventuality of a nuclear weapon being used, where it will be dropped first?

Which country will be the first to use a nuclear weapon in anger (post WW2)?

What country will detonate the next nuclear weapon?

What country will first denote a nuclear weapon in combat?

Which country will detonate the first nuclear weapon before 2025? (tests included)

What will be the next country to come into possession of a nuclear weapon?

Which countries will detonate a nuclear weapon offensively in 2025?

What country will the third nuclear weapon used in combat hit?

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated before Trump is President again?

Which of these twelve countries will have at least one known nuclear weapon in their possession at the end of 2025?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules