Will any Millenium Prize Problem (other than the Poincaré conjecture) be solved by 2030?
Plus
81
Ṁ82962029
37%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves "yes" if any of the six remaining Millenium Prize Problems are solved before Jan. 1, 2030, and the solution is accepted by the Clay Mathematics Institute.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Sort by:
@MalachiteEagle Going from "they will solve some important conjectures" to "they will solve a millenium prize problem" is peak availability heuristic
Related questions
Related questions
Will at least 4 of the 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040?
50% chance
Will another Millennium Problem be resolved before the end of 2025?
5% chance
Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030?
35% chance
Will an unsolved millenium prize problem be solved by AI by the end of 2028
36% chance
Will any Millenium Prize Problem (other than the Poincaré conjecture) be solved by 2040?
83% chance
Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2030?
12% chance
Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2040?
27% chance
Will all Millennium Prize problems by solved by the end of the century?
75% chance
Will a new problem be added to the Millennium Prize Problems by the end of 2030?
3% chance
Will a correct solution to a Millennium Prize Problem be published by the end of 2030?
42% chance