Will another Millennium Problem be resolved before the end of 2025?
Plus
33
Ṁ9712026
15%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market will resolve to YES if before the end of 2025, there is a credible claim that another Millennium Problem was solved. Although I do not plan to wait for Clay Mathematics Institute to give the award.
The claim doesn't need to be right, although I'll wait for more evidence if a claim comes way before the deadline.
Creator policy: I won't bet.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
Some progress towards Navier-Stokes:
https://www.quantamagazine.org/computer-helps-prove-long-sought-fluid-equation-singularity-20221116/
https://arxiv.org/abs/2210.07191
Related questions
Related questions
Will at least one of the remaining Millenium Problems be solved before 2030?
39% chance
Will at least 4 of the 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040?
45% chance
Will all 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040?
25% chance
Will any Millenium Prize Problem (other than the Poincaré conjecture) be solved by 2030?
38% chance
Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2040?
25% chance
Will at least 2 of the 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040?
70% chance
Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?
Which of the following Millennium Prize Problems will be solved before the end of 2030?
Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium
Prize Problem before 2035?
45% chance
Will a correct solution to a Millennium Prize Problem be published by the end of 2030?
34% chance