Will OpenAI release their o1 model before 2025?
Basic
13
Ṁ558
Jan 1
93%
chance

Resolves YES if OpenAI releases their o1 model before 2025.

For this market, it will be considered to be released if either of the following occur:

  • OpenAI announces that they have started rolling it out to ChatGPT for some users.

  • OpenAI announces that it is available in the API, even if it is not available to all tiers.

Resolves NO if none of the above happens before 2025.

Note that the o1 model is separate from the o1-mini and o1-preview model, as shown by their different benchmark scores.

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https://futurism.com/the-byte/openai-leak-o1-model "we were preparing limited external access to the OpenAI o1 model and ran into an issue."

OpenAI Accidentally Leaked Its Upcoming o1 Model to Anyone With a Certain Web Address
The full version of OpenAI's latest AI model called 01 appears to have leaked on Friday — only for the company to shut it down.
bought Ṁ25 YES

Arbitrage with https://manifold.markets/biased/when-will-openai-release-o1

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