What share of the vote will the AFD receive in the next German federal election?
Plus
31
Ṁ975Dec 31
20%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The next federal election in Germany will presumably take place in the fall of 2025. What share of the propotional vote ("Zweitstimme") will the AFD receive?
The market will resolve to the share as stated in the final official record. You can find a summary of current polling here, for example.
See also:
Close date updated to 2025-12-31 11:59 pm
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will the AfD receive >= 20% of votes in the 2025 German federal election?
92% chance
Will 'Alternative für Deutschland' win more than 25% of the vote in the next German Federal Election (23rd of February)
1% chance
Will the radical right AfD get more votes than the social democrats in Germany's next federal election?
97% chance
Will the FDP reach 5+ percent in the upcoming German Election?
8% chance
Will the SPD or AFD receive more seats in the next federal election of Germany?
In the 2025 German federal election, what percentage of the popular vote will AfD receive?
Will the far-right german party, Alternative für Deutschland (AfD), get the most seats in german parliament (2025)?
1% chance
Will the CDU/CSU lose ground in the polls after their vote with the AfD?
9% chance
Will the AfD win a constituency seat in Western Germany?
45% chance
Will the FDP be part of the next German parliament?
11% chance