Major data breach (>100k records) of Treasury Department data occurs before September 1st 2025
Basic
9
Ṁ206
Sep 1
38%
chance

This market resolves YES if there is a confirmed data breach involving over 100,000 records of data originating from the US Treasury Department.

Resolution will be based on official reports from cybersecurity agencies or verified news sources.

Resolution Criteria

This market resolves YES if before September 1st, 2025:

  • A data breach of U.S. Treasury Department systems is confirmed by official sources (e.g., CISA, Treasury Department, verified news organizations)

  • The breach results in unauthorized access to or exfiltration of more than 100,000 records

  • The compromised data must originate from Treasury Department systems or databases

The market resolves NO if:

  • No qualifying breach occurs before September 1st, 2025

  • A breach occurs but affects fewer than 100,000 records

  • A breach is suspected but not confirmed by official sources

Considerations

  • "Records" refers to distinct data entries (e.g., individual financial records, personnel files, transaction records)

  • The breach must be newly discovered during the market period - previously known breaches that are re-reported do not count

  • If a breach is reported but the exact number of affected records is unclear, resolution will wait for official confirmation of the scope before resolving

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Did AI suggest the "multiple smaller breaches" criteria? It seems maybe not what you want here.

@WilliamGunn it did and I thought it was fine at the time, but now I think you're right. I'll remove it.

I'll compensate anyone that feels rugpulled, just send me a PM.

Actually, belay that. I will let it stand. I'd rather make another market that allows for smaller breaches. Here

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