What will be true of the first main series Gen 10 Pokémon game(s)?
What will be true of the first main series Gen 10 Pokémon game(s)?
➕
Plus
9
Ṁ1818
2026
95%
Playable on Nintendo Switch 2 on release
88%
Two matching games released simultaneously
87%
Choice of Fire, Water and Grass type starters (or same with secondary typing)
85%
Pikachu can be caught in-game
50%
Has an online ranked ladder for doubles battles
40%
Released on or before 1st July 2026
37%
Pokémon Home compatibility on launch
35%
Paradox Pokémon available before first DLC
34%
Titles are “Wind” and “Wave”
31%
Playable on Nintendo Switch on release
24%
Returns to a region from a previous main series game
17%
Released on or before 1st April 2026
9%
Released on or before 1st January 2026
7%
Released on or before 1st October 2025

"first main series Gen 10 Pokémon game(s)" = first games where there is fan consensus that this is the main series game following in the tradition of Red&Blue, Gold&Silver, ... Scarlet & Violet. If it's not obvious whether a game is or is not this game then a poll will be set up asking "Is/Are Game(s) the first main series Gen 10 Pokémon games". Wording is to exclude weirdo games like Let's Go Pikachu and Eevee or Pokémon Legends Arceus which are sort of main series but not.

  • Update 2025-02-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Pokémon Legends Z-A Clarification

    • Exclusion of PLZA: Pokémon Legends Z-A is not considered a main series Gen 10 game at the time of this market.

    • Future Considerations: For PLZA to be deemed as part of the main series, it would need to show significant changes (for example, incorporating systems like VGC into PLZA or presenting as paired games).

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00


Sort by:
2mo

So I assume Pokémon Legends Z-A does not count?

2mo

@Kronopath Right now, definitely not. Based on rumours it sounds like the Gen 10 "main series" games are in development and are not the same thing as PLZA.

Things would have to appear significantly different for me to think PLZA was the main series game. Something along the scale of moving VGC to PLZA, or splitting it into two paired games.

What is this?

What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana Ṁ and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash S to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
S1.00
→ $1.00
, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules