When will Starship first deploy a Starlink satellite to orbit?
Plus
37
Ṁ11k2026
2%
By end of August 2025
17%
By end of October 2025
30%
By end of December 2025
45%
By end of March 2026
61%
By end of June 2026
67%
By end of August 2026
75%
By end of December 2026
Resolved
NOBy end of December 2024
Resolved
NOBy end of June 2025
Resolved
NOBy end of March 2025
Resolved
NOBy end of February 2025
Resolved
NOBy end of April 2025
Resolved
NOBy end of May 2025
Resolved
NOBy end of September 2024
Resolved
NOBy end of June 2024
Answers resolve YES once SpaceX confirms that a Starlink satellite (that had been launched on a Starship) has been successfully deployed to orbit
Otherwise, answers will resolve NO as their dates are reached
Resolves based on the time of deployment, not the time of launch
Any type of Starlink satellite counts as long as Starlink is in the name (eg Starshield would not count despite being a close derivative)
UTC is used
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