How many times will SpaceX launch Starship in 2024? (Everyday Astronaut 2024 Predictions)
Plus
28
Ṁ8834Jan 1
0.1%
2 or fewer
97%
3 or 4
3%
5 or 6
0.3%
7 or more
This market is based on a poll posted on X by Tim Dodd the Everyday Astronaut.
If the result is ambiguous, I may use Everyday Astronaut's followup video, if there is one, as a source for resolution.
See the full set of markets on this dashboard.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Apparently the FAA thinks there might be as many as 9. https://arstechnica.com/space/2024/02/spacex-seeks-to-launch-starship-at-least-nine-times-this-year/
Related questions
Related questions
Will SpaceX perform at least 144 successful orbital launches in the year 2024?
3% chance
How many launches will SpaceX successfully send to orbit in 2024?
How many Starship launches will occur in 2025?
SpaceX conducts at least one Starship launch every month in 2025
42% chance
Will SpaceX land a space-flown Starship in 2024?
2% chance
How many times will SpaceX launch Starship in 2024?
How many SpaceX Starship launches will there be in 2025?
How many times will SpaceX launch their Falcon 9 / Falcon Heavy in 2024? (Everyday Astronaut 2024 Predictions)
Will SpaceX's Starship have 40 successful launches before 2027?
73% chance
How many Spacex Starship launches will there be in 2024?