Will Haven-1 launch in 2026 or earlier?
Basic
3
Ṁ932027
60%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Haven-1 is a space station by VAST, to be launched in a single launch on a Falcon 9. Transit to and from will be done by Dragon. The launch of Haven-1 is currently NET August 2025.
For this market to resolve Yes, Haven-1 needs to be launched.
It does not need to be launched successfully.
It does not need to be visited by humans.
Release of the launch clamps counts as a launch.
If VAST's first station is launched on a Starship instead of a Falcon, that would still count. If they change the name of their first station, the new name counts for this market. The intention of this market is to see if VAST can launch their first station within the given time frame.
/Mqrius/will-haven1-launch-in-2025-or-earli
/Mqrius/will-haven1-launch-in-2026-or-earli
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Haven-1 launch in 2028 or earlier?
62% chance
Will Haven-1 launch in 2027 or earlier?
45% chance
Will Haven-1 launch in 2025 or earlier?
21% chance
Will Blue Origin's New Glenn launch before 2026?
89% chance
Will the Vast Haven-1 successfully reach orbit atop any SpaceX rocket, at any point in 2030?
73% chance
By when will Starliner-1 launch?
Will Tianwen-3 launch before 2030?
40% chance
Will SpaceX's HLS uncrewed demo launch before 2027?
50% chance
Will Artemis II launch before 2027?
75% chance
Will Artemis II launch before 2026?
15% chance