Will Terraform Industries have a functional full-scale terraformer in 2024?
Plus
22
Ṁ5850Jan 1
7%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Terraform Industries says they'll start production of their terraformers in Q2, but they have to have a fully functional unit by the end of the year for this question to resolve to yes. They don't necessarily have to be selling them, so a prototype would be ok. The prototype would have to match the 1000 cubic feet per hour of natural gas claimed on their product page as of Feb 2024.
Related: this question about whether they will begin commercializing
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
@Thomas42 Yes, the direct air capture is necessary (in my mind at least) for it to count as a "terraformer" instead of just a cool chemical plant.
It can get the needed water and electricity from anywhere though. Doesn't have to be reclaimed water or solar powered.
Related questions
Related questions
Will Terraform Industries begin to commercialize in 2024?
17% chance
Will there be a functional Tesla bot in Mars by 2034?
27% chance
Is TSLA going to be up in 2024?
95% chance
Will TerraPower's Kemmerer Power Station Unit 1 begin construction in 2024?
87% chance
Will there be a functional space-based solar power plant before 2045?
42% chance
Will Tesla robotaxies hit the market before Jan 1 2027?
54% chance
Will Helion deploy a commercial fusion reactor before 2040?
52% chance
Will we have a terrestrial space elevator by 2150?
25% chance
Will a tech giant build a dedicated nuclear power plant for AI operations before 2040?
72% chance
Will Tokamak Energy's construction and testing of its Demo4 unit be complete by 12/31/2024?
18% chance