Will any OpenAI model win a chess match against GM by the end of 2024?
Plus
19
Ṁ1896Dec 31
5%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Using internet search, code execution, external programs, chess engines, etc. is not allowed.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by 2028?
62% chance
Will there be an AI language model that strongly surpasses ChatGPT and other OpenAI models before the end of 2024?
8% chance
Will Google mostly catch up to OpenAI in LLM quality and neutralize ChatGPT's lead by the end of 2024?
32% chance
Will any OpenAI model win a chess match against IM by the end of 2024?
13% chance
Will an AI by OpenAI beat a super grandmaster playing chess by 2028?
69% chance
Will any OpenAI model win a chess match against World Champion by the end of 2024?
3% chance
Will AI be able to generate correct images of a chess game in 2024?
19% chance
Will open-source AI win (through 2025)?
33% chance
Will chess be solved by 2040?
19% chance
Will OpenAI models achieve ≥90% on SimpleBench by the end of 2025?
40% chance