Will Berlin manage to build 200,000 new apartments before 2031?
Will Berlin manage to build 200,000 new apartments before 2031?
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The Berlin government has plans to build approximately 200,000 new apartments in Berlin by 2030. I'm unsure whether they mean "before 2030" or "before the end of 2030". I'll interpret it as "before 2031".
They made plans for this on 20. August 2019, when the senate approved the "Stadtentwicklungsplan Wohnen 2030".
This means building approx. 20,000 new apartments every year.
Between 20. August 2019 and 31. December 2030, will Berlin manage to have built at least 200,000 new apartments?
Let me know if you think I should phrase the resolution criteria differently.
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They can't solve problem with appointments in Burgeramt for years and they are supposed to build 20000 apartments yearly. What can go wrong?
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
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