Will more people die on Western Australian roads in 2024 than in 2023?
Basic
10
Ṁ749Dec 31
94%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This will be based on official government road death statistics.
May not resolve until the end of February as deaths within 30 days qualify. (I will only delay resolution if the numbers are very close together)
May not resolve to yes immediately upon the number exceeding the previous year's total as sometimes deaths are reclassified later (as certain types of deaths on the road aren't included in the official statistics). Again, if the numbers aren't close together, then it will resolve appropriately.
For the purposes of extending resolution time, 5 deaths difference will be considered "close together". Close date will remain midnight 31st December, though.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will fewer people die from road accidents in 2024 compared to 2023? (worldwide)
44% chance
In 2030, will Western Australia's number of killed and serious injuries on the road be less than half of its 2020 value?
19% chance
Will fewer people die from road accidents in 2024 compared to 2023? (in the US, specifically)
34% chance
Will more people die in wars in 2024 than in 2023?
65% chance
Will there be more homicides in 2024 than in 2023?
38% chance
Will more people die from shootings in Sweden in 2024 than 2023?
38% chance
Will there be fewer death due to infectious diseases in 2024 compared to 2023? (in the United States)
44% chance
Will there be fewer death due to infectious diseases in 2024 compared to 2023? (Wordwide)
55% chance
Will fewer people die from Cancer (in the US) in 2024 compared to 2023?
70% chance
Will there be fewer people executed (death penalty) in the US in 2024 than in 2023?
70% chance