Will more people die in wars in 2024 than in 2023? | Manifold

Will more people die in wars in 2024 than in 2023?

Basic

6

Ṁ79

Nov 6

65%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

According to https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/deaths-in-state-based-conflicts-by-region?tab=table&time=2021..latest. Resolves when the data is available there.

Deaths in state-based conflicts by region

Interstate, intrastate, and extrasystemic conflicts that cause at least 25 deaths during a year. Deaths of combatants and civilians due to fighting.

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1,000

and

3.00

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