I've been posting more regular updates on the November head-to-head with @dlin007 , but this main market now seems underpriced

I'm up to 370,348 in November and the month is not over.

4

@LuisPedroCoelho jeez, I really am in danger now. gap has increased slightly to 11k when i cranked out 16k days for 3 days. Can we agree to only one final update on maybe 27th then go blind till we both give our final update on 1 Dec?

@dlin007 Sure. I'll upload the count up to the 26th on the 27th and then again on Dec 1st

November started off slow due to travel, but I'm catching up to the target (dashed line, which is 15,500 — a little more than what was strictly needed, which was 15,394)

This market is now "Will Luis get sick before the end of the year?" because if I don't, 5 million steps are within reach

Manifold just suggested this market to me - I'm trying to do 450k steps in November - https://manifold.markets/dlin007/will-i-walk-450k-steps-in-november. Up for some friendly competition?

@dlin007 sure :) I had a slow start to the month because of some travels, but I do plan to do 450k in November

@LuisPedroCoelho cool...I'm going to be around 175k steps at day 10. want to stake 4k mana each on who walks the most steps? Or 5k for me and 4k for you since you're starting a little behind.

@dlin007 I made market and put up 4k at 50%. You can bet against me 😃

@LuisPedroCoelho cool. i give updates every 2-3 days so around at least a 5-day cadence from you would work to calibrate my own efforts

October was the strongest month yet, >500k

At this pace, I will get to 5 million even though I am still around 100k steps behind pace (or-to put it another way-pace is 13662 steps per day, I'm at around 13300 rn)

July update

Still almost 200k steps behind the needed pace, but my new commute has an extra 2,000 steps per working day

April update (also updated description): still at pace, but barely made a dent in the deficit from early in the year (now at 223k steps)

March update. Crossed the 1 million mark + finally had a month at pace, but still a 226k accumulated deficit from Jan/Feb

Updated for mid-March. So far, this month is at pace, but still a deficit to catch up from Jan/Feb

Feb update @LuisPedroCoelho ?

@diadematus Updated. Better than January (which had a lot of travel), but still below pace

you will need to average a bit over 14K steps/day for the rest of the year to get to 5M (I can math), which would be ~2 hours per day (unless you will be running some of it). Do you know how much you walked last year?

@AlQuinn I do ~6k from commuting alone and most days I get to 9-10k without going out of my way at all (commute + other errands). I do run as well (the frequency of which I would like to increase)

I did almost exactly 4m in 2023 (4,005,510). That includes 3 weeks where I didn't measure (my old watch, which counts steps, broke, and since I was moving, I didn't immediately buy a new one—I would immediately buy a new one this year)

January was well below pace because of travel (both at the start with the summer holidays here in Australia and work travel later in the month)