Will I walk more steps than David Lin in November?
Basic
11
Ṁ4270
Dec 1
49%
chance

@dlin007 is running a market whether he'll walk 450k steps in November:

I have a longer bet for 5 million steps in 2024, which would imply around 450k in November:

David challenged me for a little friendly competition, so I am making it a public market and I will bet on myself (i.e., on the YES) with a 4k limit order at 50%

It resolves NA if I cannot determine who walked the most steps

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
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After 26 days, total: 422,714

A bit of travel today and tomorrow is a high variance event (if I have free time for running/exploring, maybe the number of steps will be higher than usual; if not then it will be lower than usual and I will have to make it up extra hard on the last 2 days).

I will publish the final tally on the 1st of December!

@LuisPedroCoelho it may not look like it, but I have you right where I want you now ;). see you in December

final update from me until the new month...with 4 days to go i'm at ~406k steps. next update as agreed with @LuisPedroCoelho is sometime on 1st Dec when the market will resolve

Through the 23rd, total: 370,415

At the end of 20 days, keeping pace with @dlin007 (314,042 steps). Rain on the 19th made it a slow day, but now forecast is that it'll get better.

After 20 days, I'm at ~310k steps and gathering momentum.

It seems that at the end of day 17, I am just slightly ahead (264,757)

The next few days may be a bit slower, though (still averaging >15k/day, though)

at the end of day 17, I'm now at 260k steps...500k might be slipping out of reach but i will make a strong push

I'm still behind @dlin007 (191,431 after 13 days), but catching up...

@LuisPedroCoelho I had a terrible last 2 days so it's quite likely at the end of today we'll be on par or you'll be slightly ahead - still only at 213k steps as of yesterday

At end of 10th,  total: 133,012

My target is 15,500 (which is what I'd need to get to 5m by year's end with a bit of margin for error)

@LuisPedroCoelho You can see the period when I was in Sydney (3-7 Nov) and did not get that many steps in

current step count: ~181k. taking a rest day tomorrow to give poor @LuisPedroCoelho a chance

bought Ṁ2 YES

@dlin007 @LuisPedroCoelho May both your IT bands stay loose and comfortable

@snazzlePop I see your curse and counter it with a cheap replacement bracelet from Temu

@LuisPedroCoelho my comment was sincere 🙂

@snazzlePop sorry, I misread it as uncomfortable:( loose normally chaffes

@LuisPedroCoelho all good. Good luck with your goals (and same to David).

I’m loving the return of the steps-walked markets. FUH’s epic about a year ago remains one of my favorite markets of all time, and it’s nice to now see some similarly ambitious challenges.

bought Ṁ4,070 NO

my current step count is ~150k so far so although I have poorer pedigree than Luis, I am going all out this month and you would be foolish to bet against me

opened a Ṁ4,000 YES at 50% order

111,776 rn

I started slow due to travel, but plan to catch up as the second half of the month is less busy than usual for me and I'm a little behind on my 5 million step challenge

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