Will There be a Civil War, Violent Revolution, or Insurgency in USA by 2030?
Plus
33
Ṁ16952031
21%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
We've seen a drastic shift in the US politicalsphere from 2010's to 2020's. How drastic do you think things can go?
All baby boomers would have reached retirement age by around 2030.
This will resolve in "yes" if the US army is mobilized to deal with domestic terrorism or part of government. Resolves in "no" otherwise.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will there be a violent revolution or Civil war in America by 2100?
50% chance
Will the US see a violent insurgency before 2030?
Will there be a civil war in the United States before 2030?
9% chance
Will Violent Insurgencies Emerge in the United States before 2032?
55% chance
Will there be large-scale rioting in the US before 2025?
4% chance
Will there be a civil war in the US in the next 20 years?
22% chance
When will there be a civil war in the USA?
Will there be large-scale rioting in the US before 2026?
33% chance
[Metaculus] Will there be major civil unrest or rioting in America before 2031?
60% chance
Will any of the following Western countries have a civil war by 2030?
19% chance