If Krantz hires Danny Sheehan as his attorney, they will win a Nobel Peace Prize.
7
Ṁ25292030
14%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will resolve 'na' if Krantz fails to hire Danny Sheehan as his attorney by 2030.
Will resolve 'yes' if either Krantz or Danny win the Nobel Peace Prize.
Will resolve 'no' if Krantz hires Danny and neither win the Nobel Peace Prize before 2050.
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alternative market structure, not conditional: [link removed]
cancelled my first market (due to missing an option) and replaced with this one: https://manifold.markets/jcb/krantz-hiring-danny-sheehan-nobel-p-6ypL95h0lt