Krantz hiring Danny Sheehan | Nobel Peace Price
3
Ṁ5162030
96%
Krantz does not hire Danny Sheehan as his attorney by 2030
0.4%
Krantz hires Danny Sheehan as his attorney by 2030, and Krantz (but not Sheehan) wins the Nobel Peace Prize by 2050
0.6%
Krantz hires Danny Sheehan as his attorney by 2030, and Sheehan (but not Krantz) wins the Nobel Peace Prize by 2050
0.4%
Krantz hires Danny Sheehan as his attorney by 2030, and both Krantz and Sheehan win the Nobel Peace Prize by 2050
2%
Krantz hires Danny Sheehan as his attorney by 2030, and neither Krantz nor Sheehan win the Nobel Peace Prize by 2050
Similar to https://manifold.markets/Krantz/if-krantz-hires-danny-sheehan-as-hi but not conditional, and with more detail on who's winning the Nobel.
I may bet on this market. If resolution seems controversial and I have a stake, I'll request mods to assist.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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