When will the UK join the European Single Market or the European Union Customs Union?
Basic
7
Ṁ2262050
2,036
expected
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves NA if the UK has not joined either by the end of 2050
Resolves to the year that the UK officially joins either of the two, not when such a decision is taken.
In both cases, the determinant of whether this has taken place will be the Wikipedia entry.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_single_market
Wikipedia allows for the fact that non-EU countries in the Single Market may have certain exceptions or carve outs.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_Union_Customs_Union
There are non-EU countries that are in the EU Customs Union (like Monaco) and there are non-EU countries that are in a customs Union with the EU (like Turkey. This questions takes the definitive view that the later case 'counts'.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will a referendum proposal to rejoin the EU in the UK parliament be voted before 2025?
1% chance
Will the UK rejoin the EU, the single market or the customs union in Keir Starmer's lifetime?
41% chance
When will there be a UK/US free trade agreement?
Will UK rejoin the European Union before 2050?
54% chance
When will Ukraine join the EU?
When will Kosovo join the EU?
Will the UK rejoin the European Union by 2040?
24% chance
Will the UK be a member state of the EU on January 1st 2032?
17% chance
The Single Market will be a key political debate in the UK before 2026
33% chance
Which country will be the next to join the European Union?