Will the UK rejoin the European Union by 2040?
Plus
14
Ṁ2922040
24%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The United Kingdom left the European Union on January 31st, 2020, after a period of negotiation and uncertainty. Since then, both parties have continued to negotiate and establish new trade agreements. However, some in the UK remain deeply divided over the decision to leave, and there is ongoing debate about the benefits and drawbacks of rejoining the EU.
This question will resolve positively if by December 31st, 2040, the United Kingdom is a full member of the European Union. If the UK is not a full member of the EU by that date, I
will resolve negatively.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will a referendum proposal to rejoin the EU in the UK parliament be voted before 2025?
1% chance
Will UK rejoin the European Union before 2050?
54% chance
Will the UK rejoin the EU by 2035?
16% chance
Will Scotland leave the UK by 2040?
28% chance
Will Scotland choose to leave the UK before 2040?
48% chance
Will the UK rejoin the EU before 2032?
9% chance
Which of these countries will leave the EU by 2050?
Will the UK apply to rejoin the EU before 2030?
9% chance
Will Scotland leave the UK by 2050?
38% chance
Will the UK be a constitutional monarchy in 2040?
77% chance