Universal Death Market - Which public figures will die before 2025? [Unlinked Free Response]
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Plus
342
Ṁ180k
Jan 2
19%
Jean-Marie Le Pen
17%
Jimmy Carter (99)
13%
Dick Van Dyke (98)
12%
Mel Brooks (97)
12%
Clint Eastwood
11%
Noam Chomsky (95)
11%
Eva Marie Saint
11%
Michael Caine
10%
George Soros
10%
David Attenborough (97)
9%
Sylvester Stallone
9%
Woody Allen
9%
William Shatner
9%
Bruce Willis
9%
Salman bin Abdulaziz Al Saud
9%
Tenzin Gyatso, the 14th Dalai Lama
9%
TSwift's cat (Benjamin Button) (from the 2023 POTY cover)
8%
Pope Francis
8%
King Charles III
8%
Mitch McConnell

Feel free to submit the names of any living public figures you think people would be interested in knowing the odds of survival for. Any duplicates or non-public-figures will be N/A-ed. If someone on this list has died, I will resolve their name to YES. At the end of 2024, all remaining names will resolve to NO.

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@Joshua He is a goner! No way he is making it through all this.

ohh - rest in peace, queen 🧡

bought Ṁ100 NO

Maybe add:

Princes Beatrix, former queen of The Netherlands (86)

sold Ṁ0 NO

@Joshua Ismail Haniyeh and Mohammed Deif are confirmed dead at this point though multiple outlets

Comment hidden

RIP Bob 🫡 🧡

👀

Oh wow first time I've seen Wikipedia jump the gun on a "was"

😐🔫

sold Ṁ59 NO

We've been Noam-ed

bought Ṁ500 YES

I mean honestly, he's 95 and had a massive stroke. It's not looking good for making it through 2024.

Misresolve? Seems to have been changed back

Ugh

An article said he died and then changed its title and removed mentions of his death

I literally waited for the Wikipedia update because other sources are full of shit lol rip2me

Jimmy Carter is a tank wrapped in a decent man's clothes. He just reached 99 and 2/3 yrs old! 17 days away from his 100 day countdown to 100.

Jimmy gang stays winning

Please consider adding Willie Nelson after the next cull. He has even self-memed about it “The Internet said I had passed away”

https://youtu.be/J34esa_aJxc?feature=shared

I'm not sure why some of these entries were N/A-ed - Steven Spielberg, for example.

@ZaneMiller Manifold changed the rules about how many options could be in a market and people had added a bunch of options taking up space that I thought made the market worse

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