Democratic country implements digital curfew for minors before 2035?
3
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2034
45%
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This market resolves YES if, before December 31, 2035, a democratic country enacts a national law or binding regulation that restricts minors’ access to digital services (e.g. social media, gaming, streaming) during specific hours of the day (e.g. 10pm–6am).
To qualify, the curfew must be:

  • Legally enforceable (not just voluntary or industry self-regulation).

  • Nationwide (not only regional or pilot projects).

  • Aimed explicitly at minors, based on age (e.g. under 18).

  • Time-based, i.e. it limits access at certain hours.

What doesn't count:

  • Voluntary company policies (e.g. gaming platforms imposing curfews without legal mandate).

  • Government recommendations or non-binding guidelines.

  • Age verification laws or general parental control tools, unless tied to curfews.

  • Authoritarian regimes (e.g. China, Iran) – only democratic countries count, based on Freedom House or similar indices.

This differs from the Australian model, which promotes voluntary or co-regulatory action by tech companies. This market requires legally binding curfews enacted by the state.

Examples that would resolve YES:

  • A law mandating that social media logins for under-18s are disabled between 10pm and 6am.

  • A government-enforced digital access limit during night hours, with fines for companies that do not comply.

I will not bet on this market.

  • Update 2025-05-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A time-based restriction defined by a category of hours, such as 'school hours', qualifies. This is true even if the exact clock hours for such periods vary (e.g., by local school schedules), as long as the rule mandating restriction during those periods is national.

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During school hours would be time based, but not clock based, would that count?

@JussiVilleHeiskanen I would say yes. But it needs to be nationwide.

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